Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 5.293333 5.833951 6.410032 7.070317 7.807092 8.604939 9.535689
2025-12-14 4.280324 5.001976 5.822278 6.826733 8.027581 9.422134 11.171531
2025-12-21 3.640718 4.467778 5.460328 6.746041 8.377262 10.390786 13.084387
2025-12-28 3.262087 4.176748 5.327670 6.894424 8.990435 11.724061 15.602258
2026-01-04 2.956927 3.928511 5.202749 7.015104 9.557008 13.040582 18.254425
2026-01-11 2.677828 3.674435 5.029860 7.033962 9.965908 14.167429 20.769775
2026-01-18 2.421837 3.419200 4.820026 6.964243 10.222468 15.084389 23.072972
2026-01-25 2.199040 3.185099 4.610804 6.862764 10.405385 15.892293 25.288992
2026-02-01 2.007236 2.975774 4.413723 6.751546 10.548991 16.638077 27.479363
2026-02-08 1.840254 2.787167 4.227710 6.633205 10.658958 17.327392 29.644292
2026-02-15 1.711139 2.644724 4.098325 6.588509 10.877393 18.208735 32.243719
2026-02-22 1.632416 2.574334 4.075151 6.712820 11.388777 19.640188 36.023498
2026-03-01 1.522771 2.447162 3.952357 6.662428 11.600313 20.582933 39.055549
2026-03-08 1.404817 2.296981 3.778948 6.507390 11.606846 21.150272 41.434423
2026-03-15 1.318937 2.194003 3.676765 6.468403 11.821401 22.131231 44.793897
2026-03-22 1.273379 2.156601 3.684642 6.629931 12.432474 23.954260 50.208613
2026-03-29 1.225866 2.111713 3.674836 6.755976 12.985545 25.724060 55.781747
2026-04-05 1.167491 2.042680 3.615204 6.779505 13.332577 27.104086 60.679455
2026-04-12 1.102190 1.956089 3.516062 6.715361 13.489683 28.092860 64.802509
2026-04-19 1.038271 1.867486 3.406255 6.619313 13.567711 28.913900 68.641239
2026-04-26 0.978325 1.782234 3.296472 6.513184 13.611820 29.661198 72.410682
2026-05-03 0.922261 1.700656 3.187899 6.399835 13.627505 30.342728 76.117515
2026-05-10 0.878302 1.639666 3.115581 6.357069 13.798063 31.411146 81.045192